3) The real outcome is always worse than the expected outcome.
so when a person is confident of in doing something, there is always a chance that he became overconfident and somehow overlooked something small which then turns big and awful. before he realised it hes dead as in in trouble. so now im expecting to ace my test and then it will turn out to be a few marks away from my target. why? cuz i got careless when i thought i could manage the whole thing properly. this kind of stupid-but-true thing happen almost everywhere, especially in important occasions such as a test, a competition or an VIE (very important event).
so now the question is: how bad can the outcome really be? as in to wat extent of "badness" can the outcome be. for example i seriously think im going to screw up my ptg tmr. so now my expected outcome is that i will screw up. so how much worse can the real outcome be which is worse than screw up? the whole school just burnt down or something?
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